Episode 3 · Transaction Data, Bidding Wars & ValuationsUpdated 2026
Marina District Market Prices Timing and Supply
The Marina District market calls for separate checks of the asking price, the time to contract and the choices still shown for sale. This guide keeps recent sales apart from the weekly supply snapshot, then uses historical seasonal patterns to frame when a seller might list and when a buyer might compare options.
Median sale price
$2,537,500
+14.6% vs the prior 52 weeks
Median days to contract
11.5 days
-5.5 days vs the prior 52 weeks
Closed above the original ask
64.4%
+11.8 pts vs the prior 52 weeks
Homes for sale now
15
18 a year earlier
💡 Key Insights & Takeaways
- The median list-to-pending time was 9 days among 31 Marina District closings from 27 July through 27 October 2026; this is not time to closing.
- Of those 31 closings, 77.4% sold above the closing sequence’s original ask, so the current asking price alone cannot describe the outcome.
- The week ending 25 October snapshot marks 15 homes for sale, the same count as 13 weeks earlier; live availability is not independently verified.
- The 52-week median sale price rose 14.6% while median price per square foot rose 16.8% against the prior 52 weeks; sale mixes differ.
- February through April is the historical listing range and October through December is the buyer range across 9 complete years, with approximate buyer-month alignment and no promised result.
Key metrics
Caption: Sale cards use the 52 weeks through 27 October 2026 against the prior 52 weeks; stock uses the week ending 25 October. The 15 marked for sale are snapshot statuses, not independently verified availability.
If you are deciding what to offer in Marina District, the recent median close was $3,000,000 across 31 sales from 27 July through 27 October 2026. The middle half spanned $1,642,595–$5,062,500. That wide spread makes a comparable home’s type, size and condition more useful than applying the median to every property.
Caption: Recent Marina District sale measures cover 27 July–27 October 2026, with the usable sample for each measure shown.
| Recent measure | Result | Sample and definition |
|---|---|---|
| Median sale price | $3,000,000 | 31 closed sale sequences |
| Median price per square foot | $1,649 | 27 sales with positive marketed area; middle half $1,494–$2,088 |
| Median list-to-pending time | 9 days | 31 sales; middle half 5–14 days |
| Closed above the original ask | 77.4% | 31 sales; each closing sequence’s original ask |
What are Marina District homes selling for?
The recent median sale price is a pooled result across residential types, not a price for a standard house or condo. The $3,000,000 median and $1,642,595–$5,062,500 middle half describe 31 closed sale sequences from 27 July through 27 October 2026. Your comparison should start with the type and condition closest to the home you are weighing.
Price per square foot narrows one part of that comparison but leaves other differences in place. The recent median was $1,649 among 27 sales with positive marketed area, with a middle half of $1,494–$2,088. Some sales lack usable area and are excluded from this measure. The figure uses marketed area and is not a check of permitted interior space.
The Key metrics cards use a longer window than the recent table: 29 October 2025 through 27 October 2026 against 30 October 2024 through 28 October 2025. That gives 104 current-window sales and 95 prior-window sales. The all-type median sale price of $2,537,500 in the current 52 weeks is distinct from the recent three-month median.
How far above asking did Marina District buyers go?
Of the 31 recent closings from 27 July through 27 October 2026, 77.4% closed above the closing sequence’s own original ask. The median premium across all those sales was 17.7%. That is a comparison with the original ask for that sale sequence, not necessarily the first price ever used by the current owner.
A relisting can reset the visible clock and the current ask, so review the full sale history before choosing a comparable. Rental episodes do not count as sale attempts here. The recent relisted share was 3.2% across 31 closings; that leaves too little recent relisted evidence for a broad claim about what a second attempt will achieve. A longer history does not by itself establish a discount.
How fast do Marina District homes reach a contract?
The median was 9 days from listing to pending among the 31 closings from 27 July through 27 October 2026. The middle half took 5–14 days. Pending means the home went under contract; closing comes later. Every sale in this recent group has a usable pending date, so a closing-date clock is not substituted.
A median describes the center of the completed sales, rather than a deadline for an unsold home. A new listing and a later sale attempt can also have different starting dates. Compare the current episode with the full sale-only marketing history before treating a short final clock as the complete time spent looking for a buyer.
How much is shown for sale in Marina District?
The snapshot dated 26 October marks 15 homes for sale and 2 under contract for the week ending 25 October 2026. These counts use each listing’s latest recorded status, rather than a history of every status change; live availability is not independently verified. Of the 15 marked-active entries, 8 have record ages over 365 days. Those ages do not establish uninterrupted marketing or explain why a seller has not sold.
The sales series covers mixed residential types through 27 October; the stock series covers houses and condos through Sunday 25 October. The figures cover different homes and dates and answer different questions. The current stock count should prompt a fresh availability check before you plan a visit or make an offer.
Caption: House and condo stock based on latest recorded status for the week ending 25 October 2026 is shown below; live availability is unverified and old marked-active entries remain included.
| Stock measure | Current result | Comparison |
|---|---|---|
| Marked for sale | 15 | 15 on 26 July 2026; 18 on 26 October 2025 |
| Marked under contract | 2 | Small count; individual changes move the ratio sharply |
| Weeks of supply | 6.7 weeks | Based on 29 closing events in the trailing 13 weeks |
Weeks of supply is the time needed to clear the marked-for-sale stock at the recent closing pace, with no new listings. It is a pace measure, not a forecast or a confirmation of availability. The 6.7-week reading uses the 29 closing events in the inventory series, rather than the broader recent sale group used for pricing above.
What changed beyond Marina District’s usual seasonal pattern?
The active count based on latest recorded status was flat over 13 weeks, at 15 on both 26 July and 25 October 2026. The historical seasonal path suggested 25.5% growth between those points. The actual move was therefore 25.5 percentage points below that path. This interpretation relies on the latest recorded statuses, including old active entries, so it does not establish a verified change in live choices.
The longer price comparison points upward on both measures. Across the 52 weeks through 27 October 2026, median close rose 14.6% to $2,537,500 from $2,215,000 in the prior 52 weeks, based on 104 and 95 sales. Median price per square foot rose 16.8% to $1,514 from $1,296, based on 86 and 79 sales with usable area. These are different mixes of sold homes, a backward-looking comparison rather than a same-home appreciation index.
When have Marina District sellers and buyers had different timing?
February through April is the historical listing range under the combined seasonal ranking, while October through December is the buyer choice-and-competition range. Both use 9 complete calendar years, 2017–2025, and the pattern varies by year. The buyer range uses an approximate shift of close-month pricing back by 1 month to align it with contract timing. It is not a reconstruction of each buyer’s contract month.
These ranges carry the same limit from using latest recorded statuses: old marked-active entries remain included and live availability has not been independently checked. For a seller, the range frames when to test a listing plan against the actual competition. For a buyer, it frames when to compare the options then on offer. Neither range promises a sale, a lower price or a particular outcome.
Common questions
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